Overconfidence and Risk Taking in Foreign Policy Decision by Imran Demir PDF

By Imran Demir

This publication introduces a brand new point of view on danger looking behaviour, constructing a framework in line with a variety of cognitive theories, and utilizing it to the explicit case-study of Turkey’s international coverage towards Syria. the writer examines why coverage makers devote themselves to polices that they don't have the means to carry, and develops another theoretical version to prospect thought in explaining probability taking behaviour in keeping with the concept that of overconfidence. the quantity means that overconfident participants convey probability looking behaviour that contradicts the danger averse behaviour of people within the area of achieve, as expected by means of prospect concept. utilizing a collection of testable speculation deduced from the version, it provides an empirical research of the reasons in the back of Turkish choice makers’ unparalleled point of danger taking towards the rebellion in Syria and the results of this policy.

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Overconfidence and Risk Taking in Foreign Policy Decision Making: The Case of Turkey’s Syria Policy by Imran Demir

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